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Sunday 3 April 2011

The Importance of News to the Forex


Anyone who has even a cursory interest in the Forex will know that they should rely on any and all news in order to make sense of what is happening in the market. It's something essential and necessary, rather as much as breathing is to anyone. The only reason any trader would have to invest in a certain currency would be because they know what is going on in that country. It would only be a crazy person that would plunk down their money on hearsay alone!
It's wise for the beginning trader to remember that it's not only the financial news of a probable new market that must be studied. Everything is inter-related, so the social and political news, apart from the editorial opinions must be absorbed as well. It's a well-known fact that what is made known in the international scene is a highly watered-down version of what is happening inside the country, sometimes even downright wrong. The only way to gauge whether a currency is worth trading in would be to read up on the "local" news itself.
A gift that a good Forex trader has is the ability to filter and sift through the dirt and find those golden nuggets of information that would help him make a good decision. These help him read the trends which are then confirmed in the financial news section.
It's a scary thought that a single wrong decision can literally bankrupt a trader or even a brokerage firm in the blink of an eye. That's why seasoned traders don't simply pay attention to the current exchange rate (which fluctuates wildly throughout the day) but also on other seemingly unrelated activities in the stock market and the going rates of bonds and treasury bills. Put together, it would make a likely prediction on how the currency itself would react over a period of a few trading days.
If trade is not done in the local currency, one good source of information would be expert or professional commentary which would be broadcast on international financial channels. Although not gospel truth, these are the people who know the local markets inside and out so it would be wise to consider their opinions while a decision is being reached. Remember, what is happening in the local scene would definitely influence the currency more than what is happening worldwide.
Other factors that would affect the stability of the currency would be the market's reactions to financial derivatives, to securities, to the futures, and to options which are being offered at the moment. Apart from those, the breaking news is something that must be studied with frequent regularity. This is the reason why there are constant updates on the trading floor, not just the requisite first thing in the morning and review after the trading day is over.
But all those opinions will have no bearing on the fact that if the trader has absolutely no experience on the floor, the news will mean nothing more than gibberish to him. There is no better teacher than practical and actual experience.


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